EmailEmail
PrintPrint
Fantasy Football 2008: All Hail the Perfect Draft
Tuesday, August 26, 2008

As much as you and I would love to field a fantasy team piloted by Tom Brady, anchored by LaDainian Tomlinson and Adrian Peterson in the backfield, with Randy Moss, Terrell Owens and Braylon Edwards on the outside, that's about as likely to happen as Chris Henry being named NFL Man of the Year.

Since our competitors would frown on us taking every pick in the first round, our challenge is to secure the best value with every selection, methodically assembling a team that will dominate from Week 1, withstand an injury to one or two key players, and peak during the fantasy playoffs.

With that lofty goal in mind, I've once again done the research for you -- analyzing the average draft position (ADP) of each player from several mock draft sites to determine the best pick in each round -- resulting in the oft-imitated, always-controversial, yet magically delicious 2008 Perfect Draft.

As always, we start with a few key assumptions. First, we're in a 10-team non-keeper league using a standard scoring system that starts 1 QB, 2 RBs, 3 WRs, 1 TE, 1 K and 1 defense. Second, we are drafting from the middle (fifth) position in a zig-zag format, meaning LT and AP are long gone by the time we pick. Third, since all drafts play out differently, we'll need a little luck along the way. And finally, our goal is nothing short of total domination and the abject humiliation of our opponents.

Now, with the fifth pick of the 2008 Fantasy Draft, we select...

Round 1. Joseph Addai, RB, Colts. If Brian Westbrook slides, jump all over him (especially in point-per-reception leagues). And if the Colts' workhorse is gone, Steven Jackson should get the nod. Most important, if you can select an elite tailback with your first pick (see who qualifies in my RB rankings here), do it.

Round 2. Tony Romo, WR, Cowboys. Quarterbacks are going markedly higher this year, following 2007's historic aerial surge. Only Tom Brady outperformed Romo last season -- his first full year as the starter -- and he's the No. 1 passer on my board in '08. His ADP is currently around 17, so count your lucky stars if he's still there. If not, take the best receiver available (see rankings here) and cross your fingers that Drew Brees slides to you in Round 3.

Round 3. Torry Holt, WR, Rams. If you're set at QB, it's time to get him someone to throw to. Holt had a disappointing 2007, along with the rest of his teammates, yet he was still a Top 15 fantasy wideout. Look for a rebound to elite status with a healthy Marc Bulger and improved running game. Prefer Braylon Edwards and Brees to Romo and Holt? You'll get no argument here.

Round 4. Earnest Graham, RB, Buccaneers. You may yawn when you call his name, but the man nearly cracked the Top 10 among fantasy RBs last season after starting just 10 games. He is a decidedly unsexy pick, but you'll love him as your RB2.

Round 5. Santonio Holmes, WR, Steelers. Last year, I predicted he would overtake Hines Ward in the team's pecking order. This year, I'm telling you he'll join Fantasyland's elite. Bank on it.

Round 6. Dwayne Bowe, WR, Chiefs. He was a Top 25 fantasy receiver as a rookie despite playing second fiddle to Tony Gonzalez and catching passes from Abbott & Costello. Though he'll face similar challenges in his second year, Bowe's upside is through the roof. There are safer options with this pick, but why not swing for the fences?

Round 7. Jeremy Shockey, TE, Saints. We resisted the temptation of taking Jason Witten three rounds earlier, and still landed an elite tight end. Teaming with Brees in the Saints' high-powered offense, Shockey is poised for a career year.

Round 8. Fred Taylor, RB, Jaguars. I say this every year: Fred Taylor is great trade bait. Simply wait until he strings together a couple of good games, then deal him for a better player who's gotten off to a slow start. Trust me; it works.

Round 9. Chris Johnson, RB, Titans. Johnson said his goal is to be the 2008 Rookie of the Year, and I wouldn't be surprised. He is simply too talented to be held back for long by the Pillsbury doughboy of NFL running backs, LenDale White. By October, you'll have trouble keeping him on your bench.

Round 10. Jake Delhomme, QB, Panthers. We won't need him till Romo's Week 10 bye, but we'll be getting trade offers for him well before that. Word is spreading that Delhomme looks as good as ever, and he's armed with a terrific trio of receivers and two tailbacks with excellent hands.

Round 11. Cowboys defense/special teams. Waiting out the initial run on defenses allowed us to shore up other positions while still nabbing what may be the best overall unit on the board. Adam "Pacman" Jones amps up the special teams, while tackle machine Zach Thomas upgrades an already-elite linebacking corps.

Round 12. Ted Ginn, WR, Dolphins. Snicker if you want. Someone has to catch passes in Miami, and Ginn is far and away the most gifted receiver on the squad. He might even return a kick or two for you.

Round 13. Alge Crumpler, TE, Titans. He should be to Vince Young what he was to another erratic, mobile passer, Michael Vick: the most reliable receiver on the field.

Round 14. Reggie Williams, WR, Jaguars. He's quickly rising up draft boards now that he appears to be fully recovered from knee surgery. In his second season teaming with David Garrard, Williams will be a terrific bye-week sub.

Round 15. Pierre Thomas, RB, or Robert Meacham, WR, Saints. One or both of these guys should be key cogs in the New Orleans offensive arsenal by mid-season. You probably can't take both, so go with your gut.

Round 16. Nate Kaeding, K, Chargers. Face it; kickers are always a crapshoot. Nick Folk seems like a sure thing, but he's probably gone. Kaeding will do you fine.

Round 17. Eddie Royal, WR, Broncos. He has already zoomed past Darrell Jackson into the starting lineup, and will have at least two weeks to develop rapport with Jay Culter while Brandon Marshall is suspended. He's my pick for top rookie receiver, for what that's worth.

There you have it. Several great players and some others with huge upside. We may be a bit short-handed at RB in Week 10, but we'll just have to lean on the rest of the roster to see us through.

Now go forth, grasshopper, and make your own draft perfect.

First published on August 26, 2008 at 12:00 am